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European stock futures edge higher; ECB minutes, German Ifo due

Investing.com – European stock markets are expected to open marginally higher in subdued trading Thursday, as investors digest the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting as well as news of fresh stimulus from China.

At 02:00 ET (07:00 GMT), the DAX futures contract in Germany traded 0.1% higher, CAC 40 futures in France climbed 0.1% and the FTSE 100 futures contract in the U.K. rose 0.1%.

The minutes from the early November FOMC meeting increased the prospect of the Federal Reserve easing the pace of its aggressive interest rate hikes going forward, helping the main equity indices on Wall Street close higher Wednesday, the day before the Thanksgiving holiday.

Investors now largely expect the Fed to hike by 50 basis points to 4.25%-4.5% at the December policy meeting, after four consecutive increases of 75 basis points.

The European Central Bank publishes the account of its latest meeting later in the session, but markets are not expecting similar largesse with Eurozone inflation above 10% while the flash November PMI readings suggested the region had entered a recession.

European Central Bank policymaker Robert Holzmann said on Tuesday he has not decided how he will vote at the next rate-setting meeting in December but he was leaning towards an increase of 75 basis points.

Elsewhere, China announced a new rescue package for its battered property sector as well as a likely cut to the banks’ reserve requirement ratio, but the surging COVID cases still dominate investor sentiment with infections hitting a record high. 

Nomura cut its forecasts for China’s economic growth for this year to 2.8% from 2.9%, and next to 4% from 4.3%, citing a “slow, costly and bumpy” reopening of the country as COVID cases surge.

The German Ifo Business Climate index for November is due later in the session, while there are a number of ECB speakers due, including Vice President Luis de Guindos, Board member Andrea Enria and Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel.

Crude oil prices fell Thursday, continuing the previous session’s selloff as traders digested the proposed price cap on Russian oil from the Group of Seven countries. 

The G7 is looking at a cap on Russian seaborne oil at $65-$70 a barrel, according to reports Wednesday, although more talks are scheduled for later Thursday as this has yet to be agreed.

The range would be higher than markets had expected, and is seen as less likely to provoke Russian President Vladimir Putin into disrupting global supply.

Elsewhere, the Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude inventories fell by 3.7 million barrels last week, more than expected, but both gasoline and distillate inventories rose substantially.

By 02:00 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.6% lower at $77.50 a barrel, while the Brent contract fell 0.6% to $84.94. Both contracts fell more than 3% last session.

Additionally, gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,757.15/oz, while EUR/USD traded 0.4% higher at 1.0439.

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Gold rises past $1,750 as Fed members tout slower rate hikes

By Ambar Warrick 

Investing.com– Gold prices rose past key levels on Thursday, benefiting from a weaker dollar as the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting showed that a growing number of members supported a slower pace of interest rate hikes. 

The minutes, released on Wednesday, showed that the Fed was becoming increasingly concerned over the impact of its recent monetary policy tightening on the economy and inflation. The central bank hiked its benchmark rate by 375 basis points (bps) this year, with four consecutive hikes of 75 bps. 

But markets are now pricing in a nearly 80% chance that the central bank will raise rates by a relatively smaller 50 bps in December.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $1,753.40 an ounce, while gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,753.50 an ounce by 19:05 ET (00:05 GMT). Both instruments jumped about 0.6% after the release of the minutes on Wednesday, while the dollar sank 1%.

Fed members still remain uncertain over the level at which U.S. interest rates will peak during this hiking cycle, given that inflation is still trending well above the central bank’s 2% annual target. 

Markets will look to November’s CPI inflation readings, due next month, to gauge whether inflation is steadily retreating in the country. But strength in consumer spending and the labor market suggest that inflation may be sticker than expected in the coming months.

Still, the prospect of smaller rate hikes by the Fed is positive for metal markets, given that sharp rises in interest rates this year greatly pushed up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.

Platinum futures rose 0.2%, while silver futures rallied 1.2%. 

Gains in industrial metals were relatively subdued, as the space grapples with slowing demand in major importer China. 

Copper futures fell 0.1% on Thursday after rising 0.5% in the prior session. 

While weakness in the dollar supported prices of the red metal, concerns over China’s worst COVID-19 outbreak yet sapped broader appetite for copper. The country introduced new restrictions in several major cities this month, as it faces a record-high rise in daily infections. 

Headwinds from Chinese demand have largely offset signs of tightening copper supply this year.